Watson averaged 4,000 yards passing and 26 tds the prior couple of seasons when the Texans made the playoffs.In your *expert* opinion what was the reason an average QB put up probowl numbers and lead his team to the playoffs the prior 2 seasons? In the end, I think the numbers suggest that - like most things Cousins - his garbage time stat padding is more complicated and nuanced than his detractors OR supporters would probably like to believe. Robinson is an outstanding receiver in any situation, but Mitchell Trubisky and Nick Foles often could not reliably get him the ball until opposing defenses called off the dogs. Despite having a rookie quarterback under center, theyve called 65 passes and only six runs this season. And Deshaun Watson in 2020, when the Texans went 4-12. Youll never catch me scoffing at a quarterback with a triple-digit passer rating. I would say the majority of this is from the Packers, Ravens, and Browns games, especially the Packers game in which he definitely stat-padded. the Vikings/Packers tie in Lambeau). Author: Chad Jensen. That being the case, play-calling remains aligned fairly well with league average. Mullens had a knack for producing fourth-quarter scoring drives that cut the 49ers deficits to 27-13 or 34-24 in the waning minutes in 2020. Thats a broad definition that includes some still-competitive situations, like when a team is trailing 26-10 early in the third quarter. Its hard to define, but we all know it when we see it. Note that guys like Brees, Brady, Lamar Jackson, and Luck all appear towards the top of some of those lists - though typically not all of them, in the way Kirk does. The following browsers are supported: Chrome, Edge (v80 and later), Firefox and Safari. Although garbage time is and will continue to be a key factor in fantasy football, adjusted pass/run ratios will help you make the best possible decisions when it comes to making lineup, trade, and waiver decisions. I followed by pulling play-calling splits based on two categories: (1) time remaining in the game and (2) the scoreboard. Those quarterbacks were: Peyton Manning in 2004, when the Colts went 12-4. Very sad that he puts up stats like this and they lose.. Notice that teams up by four-to-20 points still throw exactly 56 percent of the time. Publish date: Oct 4, 2021 11:55 AM EDT. November wasnt kind to the Saints. And what about first-half blowouts? Not sure what fitz should do. That can result in lots of carries and yards. I feel like just about everyone automatically puts up big numbers now. Meaning, when the game is already out of hand and the only thing standing in the way of a Vikings defeat is the remaining minutes on the game clock, THAT is when Cousins comes alive. Watson is like Stafford, a great talent, who coaches get too greedy with, rather than blending in with a total team effort. Just Saw This On The Chat Sports Vikings Now YouTube Channel, First Mock/ Offseason Plan - We're Closer Than You Think, Would You Do This If You Were The Gm Of The Minnesota Vikings, Speculating Hypothetical Instrumental Team Transactional Adjustments Knowledge Exercise #1. However, 44 percent of Cousins second-half touchdown passes (11) came when Minnesota was either trailing or leading by eight points or less. He ended the night with 270 yards passing, much of which came in garbage time, while being held without a touchdown for just the second time in 56 games since taking over KC's starting job in 2018. 3. So basically a three possession game at any time in Q3 or a two possession game at any time in Q4*. The Minnesota Vikings have been involved in zero games with garbage time "opportunities." You can probably feel this in your bones as every Vikings game to date in 2021 is anxiety-filled. Teams rarely trail by 21 points in the first quarter, but we do have some data to work with the rest of the way. To make it easy to read, teams are sorted by their pass rates under normal game circumstances. 2023 NFL Enterprises LLC. The final score made this game look closer than it was the New Orleans Saints trailed the Philadelphia Eagles 33-7 going into the fourth quarter. For our purposes, garbage time is when a team is trailing by 16 points or more in the second half of a game. Those numbers were lower than his 66.1% completion rate and 6.9 yards per attempt for the whole season. Regular . Only four quarterbacks in NFL history have finished a season with more than 4,500 passing yards, more than 30 touchdowns, fewer than 10 interceptions and an average of more than 8.5 yards per pass. They have a shot at turning it around in the Thanksgiving nightcap against the Bills, and they just might do it given how well theyve played strong teams this year. Bill OBrien destroyed this roster with his completely inept GM work. On the one hand, it's hard to argue that Minshew benefitted from padded stats. So it might have been a better idea to say that Cousins was the Emperor of garbage time during the first six games of the 2020 season. At least not as much as second or third-tier running backs on borderline Wild Card teams that go into the tortoise formation to preserve their victories like Drake and Gaskin. Update rbsdm.com/stats About Team Tiers Offense Defense Quarterbacks Instructions Please make your selections on the left and choose a tab on the top. All-time Scores, Find a Score. When do you declare garbage time in time and points differences? Yet, the Rams are basing their Stafford evaluations and hopes on many things that happened in non-competitive losses. . Searles is a born and raised Minnesotan who currently resides in Denver. You also know that garbage time can inflate the stats of some players or. For example, the Browns call a pass 48 percent of the time when ahead on the scoreboard. At 28 percent (18 drop backs, seven runs), the Dolphins are in the basement. Well, now the Vikings quarterback is being referred to as the Emperor of garbage time.. When there is no way a team is going to come back and win. This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. A QB can make a career out of this if he plays his cards right. Were his numbers inflated as a result of the five instances in which his team was trailing by three scores in the second half of the game? If they survived 28-3 I think they're good. The only running back on our list. Notice how high the fourth quarter pass rates are when teams are trailing. Elementary, my dear Watson. He and the organization failed. Thats nearly double the league-wide 38 percent rate for teams ahead by four-to-six points in the fourth quarter. The Eagles made the same mistake as the Titans last week and the Falcons a game earlier. And of course, there are those still holding out hope for Deshaun Watson whos saga is nowhere near a resolution. Trust me, as a fantasy owner those were mostly garbage time stats. He put up 955 rushing yards and 10 touchdowns over 15 games in Kingsburys up-and-down offense. NFL and the NFL shield design are registered trademarks of the National Football League.The team names, logos and uniform designs are registered trademarks of the teams indicated. Unlock all tools and content including Player Grades, Fantasy, NFL Draft, Premium Stats, Greenline and DFS. Remember when Matt Flynn made 8 figures because of one (essentially) garbage time game in week 17? When you compile all of Kirk's production in garbage time from 2020, his numbers are: 55/78 (70.5 completion%) 704 passing yards 7 touchdowns 0 interceptions 128.36 passer rating [], [] Tua Tagovailoa to a new franchise in just his second year. See NFL player statistics across every major statistical category. The Thanksgiving night game four days away (roughly 100 hours, if youd rather look at it that way). Final two minutes of the first half Notice that the pass-heaviest quarter is the second. While his final totals are typically among the NFLs best, do they tell the full story about his abilities as a quarterback? Also, Watson would play in stretches where he was ineffectual, running around, getting sacked, then punting, before making big plays five minutes later. This FanPost was created by a registered user of The Daily Norseman, and does not necessarily reflect the views of the staff of the site. by 16 points in the second half. That may seem odd, but it makes sense when you take into account the mad rush for points after the two minute warning. Below is a table of the times the Vikings found themselves in garbage time last season and what Cousins' production from that point on looked like. The Broncos were none too pleased. Possibly one of the worse defense in NFL. Well known for his social media presence and unique takes on the landscape of Philadelphia sports, Victor takes pride in engaging with the fanbase in ways not too often seen from today's sports personalities. The third is pass rates during our definition of garbage time. Trading J.J. Watts for draft picks almost seems inevitable. This is the Stafford syndrome. Could there be factors other than the fear of an impending loss that enter into the equation? Edit: in fact I bet stats like this can be directly tied to the point differential. Related | Dynasty Wide Receiver Rankings: Top assets heading into 2021. When their opponents are taking them seriously and putting in the effort to pressure Siemian and challenge his receivers, Sean Payton hasnt had an answer for them. Trade him to the raiders for Carr and Agholor. If you ask me, garbage time is the portion of an NFL game where play-calling on both sides of the ball is disrupted by game situation. *I personally prefer a somewhat stricter definition than I am using here; for instance, I don't think "garbage time" can truly even begin with more than 20 minutes left in a game, since 20 minutes can be a LOT of football. It is almost a guarantee Watson gets shipped out by McDaniels and Caserio so they can bring in their guy. I'd think there is no real garbage time in the [first half]. The Liberty Line has a nice breakdown of Hurts stats by situation (missing last weeks stats) and shows that Hurts has seven [], [] Philadelphia was playing from behind for most of those games but asking Hurts to produce without a rushing threat to keep []. But I am fine with that, since the end of a game that is reasonably close - even if it didn't always look like it should be - should not be called garbage time. That explains why Henry doesnt top this list the Titans let his backup share the load when the game was in hand. Most of Coopers late-game catches came from Dak Prescott or Andy Dalton. The 64-percent mark in the third quarter isnt overly massive, but is still five percentage points over league average in the quarter. 2. The official source for NFL news, video highlights, fantasy football, game-day coverage, schedules, stats, scores and more. 2) I didn't really know what to expect before I did this; I suspected that Kirk is probably pretty average in the overall contribution of garbage time to his numbers, and that the meme is pretty overblown - but that was just based on anecdotal stuff like some of cka2nd's recent posts.]. To do this, I examined every single offensive snap from the 2012 season through 12 weeks. Pretty easy when the opposing team is playing prevent defense every game. However, on offense you have to help your defense by running the ball, controlling the clock and moving the chains. Lololol r/falcons on suicide watch. [] decent, but as we all know, many of those numbers came from garbage time, which seems to be an occurring theme for Hurts throughout the [], [] will be quick to tell you that a lot of the Eagles passing success has come in garbage time. Throughout the first six weeks of the season, Hurts has accumulated over 1800 total yards and 13 TDs, but is 28th in the league in QBR. Get the latest fantasy news, stats, and injury updates for New Orleans Saints RB Josh Adams from CBS Sports There are also one or two guys in the mix who needed some meaningless production to make themselves look better than they might be. We arent asking for you to do anything besides make your pick on the Eagles-Raiders game below andVERIFYyour pick for a chance to win. Keep it coming. With Kenny Golladay hurt much of the season, Staffords options at wide receiver besides Jones included Danny Amendola, Quintez Cephus, and Mohamed Sanu. Receivers are at the mercy of their quarterbacks, even in lopsided losses. Who hasnt had their fantasy week ruined by a Kirk Cousins-to-Adam Thielen touchdown in the final seconds of a lopsided Minnesota Vikings loss? 5. 2019-20. On February 23, 2017, it was announced that Garbage Time would either be retooled from its current format, or Fox Sports would find a new hosting vehicle for Nolan. There shouldnt be any lofty expectations for Hurts to be a top-10 QB this year. 6. The Eagles went into 2021 with the mindset that they need to make one of two decisions moving forward: Hurts has made his fair share of poor decisions and questionable throws early on, but the on-field production is there. @omnicomin points out something many fail to realize: both teams can be in garbage time simultaneously. Throughout his time as a starter with both the Minnesota Vikings and Washington Football Team, Kirk Cousins has consistently been able to put up some impressive numbers. In conclusion, plays that take place during the following game situations have been deemed garbage time: (1) Final two minutes of the second half, (2) while trailing in the fourth quarter, (3) while ahead in the second quarter, (4) down by 21 or more points at any time, (5) down by 14 or more points after the first quarter, and (6) up by 21 or more points in the second half. Almost immediately, really, with Trevor Siemian lobbing a touchdown pass to Marquez Callaway from 26 yards out just 11 seconds into the fourth quarter. 4. Passer rating is the easiest way to define a quarterbacks level of success, as it incorporates their completions, attempts, yards, touchdowns, and interceptions into a single metric. Teams ahead by 14 points pass only one-quarter of the time in the fourth quarter. The Eagles are now six weeks into the Nick Sirianni/Jalen Hurts era, and there are perhaps more questions now than there were before the season. 1. WATCH: Every pitch of Andrew Painters 1st inning vs. the Minnesota Twins, Eagles Buzz: CJ Gardner-Johnson rips Jonathan Gannon on Twitter for Super Bowl performance, Spring Training: Umpires end Orioles vs Pirates game early, but both teams wanted to finish, calling the game themselves, WATCH: Operation Flagship How D.C. Police Lured Wanted Criminals in for Arrest by Offering Super Bowl Tickets, Comcast Cable Cutter: Philadelphia Police seek man who cut cable to thousands of homes before the Eagles Super Bowl, Report: Eagles are officially OUT on QB Deshaun Watson. If I was them I would start spending money on the D. If they end up wasting 3-4 years of this guys prime, BOB should be exiled from football. Cousins has done a commendable job of putting a major dent into a handful of the narratives that have dogged him since he landed in Minnesota. Any time in the game where its unlikely that a team comes back to win. Siemian spent last season on the practice squad and looked like thats where he belonged in this outing. It's the NFL. All Rights Reserved. So based on something like "garbage time attempts per game", Cousins is about where you would expect over a 48 game sample size for the number of games he played - he had neither exceptionally more nor fewer than his peers. Standard Player Stats. Thats the difference between icing a victory and trying to stage a comeback. With his team trailing in most games this season, many have labeled Hurts as a garbage time QB due to playing from behind. Since taking over the starting job with the Vikings in 2018, Cousins 103.6 passer rating should silence any doubt that he at least belongs in the conversation as a top-10 signal-caller in todays NFL. How much of that was end of game bush yards? Staffords Los Angeles Rams wont get blown out nearly as often as the Detroit Lions did last year. Age: 26 (27 on 7/27/23) Playing time: 16 games (15 starts), 969 defensive snaps (92.2% of team total), 50 special teams snaps (12.2% of team total) Key statistics: 90 tackles, 6 tackles for loss . Minnesota Vikings QB Kirk Cousins is the Emperor of garbage time, Kirk Cousins and other top garbage-time quarterbacks of 2020, Garbage time. Atlanta calls a pass an NFL-high 66 percent of the time in normal game circumstances. Jalen Hurts has accounted for 40% of Eagles rush attempts (53 of 132). The last way I chose to examine the data was by how one's rate stats in garbage time compare to his equivalent overall stats during the 3-year window. Watson had his great season on one of the worst teams in the NFL. Learn how your comment data is processed. NFL Premium Stats; NFL Player Grades; Free Agent Rankings; QB Annual 2022; About Player Grades; Social @PFF; Facebook; Instagram . Nick Sirianni hasnt done Hurts many favors with the playcalling either. Five of these seven touchdown throws happened during Minnesotas first six games of 2020 when they started 1-5 and Cousins was performing very poorly. Thats discouraging news for a team that just mortgaged its future for Stafford. **And frankly, since the Cousins narratives tend to ignore any/all context, it seems appropriate to do so here as well. Honestly, how many quarterbacks in todays NFL dont benefit from such accommodating circumstances? He rushed 7 times in the fourth quarter of the teams 43-17 win over the 49ers. Get box score updates on the Green Bay Packers vs. New Orleans Saints football game. Minshew also attempted 78 garbage-time passes as a rookie in 2019. I wonder if the WFT has the cajones? Yet, our definition gives us enough plays to analyze players without making things too complicated. Barring a serious injury to Siemian, his job was just to hold a clipboard like any other backup in this league. I think highly of Watson, but its worth noting that with defenses watered-down and Arena Football-style games becoming the norm, those stats simply dont mean what they used to. Their punter makes more than only 2 defensive players on the team, and the big cost is Watt who is probably gone next year. 2018-19. For all those who are saying deshaun watson is getting his stats in garbage time Also, continue to visit. The Dak, Blake Bortles effect. 2023 DN Live Draft: Date / Time / Platform. So of the 25 second-half scores the Vikings quarterback threw during the 2020 campaign, 28 percent of them happened during garbage time. Starting []. Davis overall numbers and first-round pedigree should attract free agent suitors this offseason, but hes generally invisible when the rest of the Titans offense is clicking. In summation, its much too early to come to a definitive conclusion about Hurts with just 10 NFL starts under his belt. The defense was terrible, despite having players like Watt, Mercillus and Cunningham, a tackling machine but they couldnt cover anybody. Youre sure to learn a ton about the teams offensive philosophy. Passing; Rushing; Receiving; Scrimmage Stats; Defense; Kicking; . Vikings promote Weatherly, waive Hillman; is the return of Adrian Petersonnext? WFT on line 1, offering their 1st and 2nd for Watson. Follow Mike Clay on Twitter: @MikeClayNFL. We dont think of the Cardinals as a team that had the luxury of running out the clock very often. The percentages youre seeing are the NFL-wide pass rates (percentage of play calls that are pass) in several different scenarios. Lets look at some of the players who saw the most action in lopsided losses (and wins for running backs) last year, examine their production, and determine what all that trash collection could mean for them in 2021 and beyond. Its hard to define, but we all know it when we see it. Also, continue to visitPro Football Networkfor NFL news and in-depth analysis concerning the 2021 season and beyond. Head coach John Harbaugh made sure the Ravens kept the 100-yard rushing streak alive with this final run from Lamar Jackson. Incoming Cousins is a stat padder comments. Gaskin rushed 8 times in the fourth quarter of the Dolphins 31-13 win over the Jaguars. The Liberty Line is owned and operated by TLL Sports LLC. In a not-so-shocking development, youll notice that the ratings correlate well with the overall NFL standings. One cannot become THE Kirk Cousins without the gift of being able to throw a touchdown just before the two-minute warning of a 52-33 loss (Week 16 vs. the Saints). Aaron Rodgers in 2011, when the Packers went 15-1. Minshew also attempted 78 garbage-time passes as a rookie in 2019. https://saintswire.usatoday.com/2021/11/21/saints-eagles-trevor-siemian-stats-garbage-time-nfl-score-result/, Your California Privacy Rights/Privacy Policy. Thats a broad definition that includes some still-competitive situations, like when a team is trailing 26-10 early in the third quarter. So its no surprise that A) the Lions played from far behind frequently and B) Stafford ended up tossing many passes to the steady Jones. Matt Ryan had far more attempts than any of the others, and guys like Rodgers and Brady played all 48 games. Theyre a good two percentage points ahead of the Packers and Lions (64 percent). Its hard to be as bad as the Texans are when your quarterback is playing as well as Watson is, but the Texans found a way. By choosing I Accept, you consent to our use of cookies and other tracking technologies. With that as the biggest factor (not to mention our other garbage time qualifications), winning teams high on the pass rate list (like Atlanta and Green Bay), wont be quite as high on the unadjusted play-calling list. Ahead in the fourth quarter Picking up where we just left off, teams ahead on the scoreboard in the fourth quarter have pass rates significantly below league average. They completely ignored that side of the field. Down 14-to-20 points, teams throw a whopping 85 percent of the time. 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Easy to lead stats for garbage time when the Cardinals have 6 games where the margin of defeat was 2-3 possessions or more lol. NFL . Cookie Notice Edit: in fact I bet stats like this can be directly tied to the point differential. Unfortunately for Watson, the Texans are in bad salary cap shape and dont have a first-round pick or a second-round pick next season. The correct approach with Hurts is to view him through the same lens you would a rookie quarterback. Television. At this point fans should just be happy to finish the season with a winning record. Kirk gonna Kirk. If some team trades for Minshew once the Jaguars lock into drafting Clemsons, For running backs, we need to do things differently. A PFT post the other day noted Bridgewaters 92 quarterback rating was something like 22nd in the league, when not too long ago 75 was considered average. So if you want to rag on him for being a garbage time king, go for itjust don't forget that he's one of many petty kings in the NFL realm. Theres been a narrative about Cousins for a while now that he pads his stats during the garbage time portion of games. Teams down by one-to-three points throw 69 percent of the time. Kirk Cousins is the Emperor of Garbage Time. It didnt matter and they lost 40-29. The only surprise here is that Aaron Jones averaged just 3.7 yards per attempt. Our exclusive database, featuring the most in-depth collection of NFL player performance data. Here are the results: It may take a minute to register all the data shown here, but let me explain. The Cousins adulation has only been compounded by Pro Football Focuss recent announcement that he received their highest grade of any quarterback in the fourth quarter since 2019. Trailing in the fourth quarter Take a look at our first chart. Wed expect to see more carries for Arian Foster and fewer throws for Matt Schaub. Today were going to look at Cousins quality of play when the game is still hanging in the balance versus how it stacks up to his play when inevitable defeat gives him the freedom to let it loose. Most Garbage Time Qb Passing Yards 2021 | StatMuse Tom Brady had the most passing yards by a quarterback in 2021, with 5,316 yards. NFL . As shown earlier (not thats a big revelation or anything), teams tend to throw the ball more when playing from behind and vice versa. NFL footage NFL Productions LLC. For our purposes, garbage time is when a team is trailing by 16 points or more in the second half of a game. There is a ton to be learned from this chart and theres certainly enough here for us to come up with a decent garbage time definition. Hopefully, after today, the garbage-time stat-sheet-stuffer narrative can finally be put to rest. Minshews garbage-time method of operation is pretty straightforward. Yet, our definition gives us enough plays to analyze players without making things too complicated. If he didnt suck early in the games, they wouldnt of been losing to start with. Corey Davis may be the Kirk Cousins of wide receivers. The dip to 53 percent in 21-plus point games is enough to qualify those plays as garbage time. Aaron Rodgers in 2011, when the Packers went 15-1. For running backs, we need to do things differently.
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